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This paper develops a new Early Warning System (EWS) model for predicting financial crises, based on a multinomial logit model. ...

http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp145.pdf

by C Lee - Related articles

http://www.waset.org/journals/waset/v53/v53-12.pdf

Early Warning System for Financial Crises. - 62 -. 1. Introduction. The Asian Financial Crisis in 1997-98 has raised concerns for worldwide financial ...

http://www.amcm.gov.mo/publication/quarterly/Apr2009/early_warning_en.pdf

introduced in financial crisis early warning model can ... 20 financial indices in the model of financial crisis early warning ...

http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/iel5/5193618/5193874/05194006.pdf?arnumber=5194006

also is import to financial crisis early warning, such as human ... [1] Yinxia, Xiaoxu, “Research on financial crisis early warning of listed ...

http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/iel5/4625775/4633757/04634137.pdf?arnumber=4634137

edge about early warning for enterprise financial crisis such as a process of warning, indicators of warning, the method of warning, warning degree and so ...

http://www.springerlink.com/index/P78585M63K619246.pdf

Using NN to Support Early Warning System for Financial Crisis Forecasting. 285 basis with the purpose of providing early warning signs, is introduced, ...

http://www.springerlink.com/index/P8RT383363007R18.pdf

by T Tambunan - Related articles

http://www.tdri.or.th/reports/published/eadn/indo2.pdf

by J Zhuang - Cited by 9

http://www.adb.org/documents/edrc/policy_briefs/pb007.pdf

by J Zhuang - Cited by 9

http://www.adb.org/Documents/ERD/Working_Papers/wp026.pdf

by AKRMM Spiegel - Related articles

http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/arose/VoxEW.pdf

ing early warning indicators of financial crises has soared of late, stoked primarily by two factors: the high cost to countries in the throes of crisis ...

http://www.piie.com/publications/chapters_preview/100/1iie2377.pdf

shock. If international interest rates rise markedly, as they did in the early. 1980s, and many countries have financial crises simultaneously, we would ...

http://www.piie.com/publications/chapters_preview/100/6iie2377.pdf

Indicators of financial crisis generally do not have a good track record. This paper presents an early warning system for six countries in Asia, ...

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID480021_code1682.pdf?abstractid=480021

of crises as well as their timing. Thus our analysis bodes poorly for the ability of early warning models to forecast future financial crises. ...

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID1472917_code1278234.pdf?abstractid=1472917

16 Dec 2009 ... financial crises during the 1990s and early years of new millennium. .... estimates, the challenges in collecting early warning and business ...

http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/workshops/2009/netherlands/AC202-S21.PDF

international organizations in response to the global economic crisis. ... financial developments as part of an early warning system for taking appropriate ...

http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/workshops/2009/netherlands/AC202-4.PDF

by RS Mariano - Cited by 3

http://www.luc.edu/orgs/meea/volume2/ozmucur1.pdf

by JP Konttinen - Related articles

http://www.ecomod.org/files/papers/1294.pdf

by AK Rose - Cited by 16

http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/papers/2009/wp09-17bk.pdf

sector vulnerabilities and prevent financial crises in the future.1 ... 1 The need for establishing early warning systems was also highlighted in the ...

http://www.mof.go.jp/jouhou/kokkin/tyousa/tyou052.pdf

Edison, Hali J. (2003), “Do Indicators of Financial Crises Work? An Evaluation of an Early Warning System,”. International Journal of Finance and Economics ...

http://www.mof.go.jp/english/pp_review/ppr005/ppr005a.pdf

3 Mar 2010 ... All of them paled in comparison to the financial crisis that hit ... financial system and to provide early warning of potential problems. ...

http://www.bis.org/review/r100305d.pdf

by PJG Vlaar - Cited by 16

http://www.bis.org/publ/confer08m.pdf

4 May 2009 ... 1) It functions as an early warning system that allows timely remedial action to .... depletion will all dwarf the current financial crisis, ...

http://www.gpiatlantic.org/pdf/gpisummary/currenteccrisis.pdf

4 Dec 2008 ... “it is the most severe financial crisis since the Great Depression”. .... approach to detecting risks, through an early warning system. ...

http://www.central-bank.org.tt/news/speeches/2008/sp081204.pdf

4 Feb 2009 ... Since the financial crisis began, the Fund has worked to assess the ...... The crisis also illustrated limitations in the early warning ...

http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2009/020409.pdf

12 Feb 2010 ... global financial crisis, and likely helped stave-off some of the worst ... So where does the Early Warning Exercise fit into this overall ...

http://www.aciforex.com/docs/markettopics/20100212_IMF2.pdf

19 Jan 2009 ... global financial and economic crisis. The objectives were: .... Monitoring early warning signs requires information from different sources. ...

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/events/meetings/2009_financial_crisis_report_en_.pdf

have already recognised the value of Early Warning and have started to implement them as a response to the economic crisis. Risks and Challenges ...

http://www.deloitte.com/assets/Dcom-Latvia/Local Assets/Documents/FSiUT/LV_ENG_financial_services_Early_warning_systems_June_2009.pdf

by EP Davis - 2007 - Cited by 25

http://www.brunel.ac.uk/9379/efwps/0711.pdf

10 Dec 2008 ... spillover effects of the global financial crisis threatened to inflict untold ... financial markets to provide early warning of fragilities, ...

http://www.unescap.org/EDC/English/Commissions/E65/E65_15EA1.pdf

developing early warning systems; and. • Further developing the capacity to deal with financial crisis and resolution capacities, at the national, ...

http://ec.europa.eu/commission_barroso/president/pdf/COMM_20081029.pdf

by SD Crisesopenness are very significant in predicting sovereign debt crises. Finally, financial variables such as credit default swaps are also used as early warning ...

http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/15/2/42252266.pdf

Yap, Josef T. (1998), 'Developing an Early Warning System for BOP and Financial Crisis: The case of the. Phillipines', Phillipines Institute of Development ...

http://www.igidr.ac.in/~money/early warning system_basabi_tanima.pdf

by I Shahzad - Related articles

http://www.wbiconpro.com/4[1]. Irfan.pdf

by ARI Ali - Cited by 1

http://crem.univ-rennes1.fr/manifestations/GDREmonnaie07/papiers/ARI-DAGTEKIN.pdf

- Related articles

http://www.bcentral.cl/eng/studies/working-papers/pdf/dtbc183.pdf

by AC Tiberiuavoid financial instability. Generally, the early warning systems are used due to their capacity to forecast the crisis' appearance, but they can at the ...

http://steconomice.uoradea.ro/anale/volume/2009/v3-finances-banks-and-accountancy/77.pdf

by R Barrell - Cited by 6

http://www.niesr.ac.uk/pdf/dp330.pdf

1 May 2006 ... This paper introduces ANZ's Early Warning Indicator (EWI), an index ... from the fact that the Asian financial crisis in 1997 was largely ...

http://www.bcpng.org.pg/Documents/ANZ Early Warning Indicator.pdf

obtain a timely and reliable early warning signal of an impending crisis. In line with the current literature I will use the term "financial crises" ...

http://www.diplom.de/db/diplomarbeiten2255.pdf

information and early warning continue to have a crucial role in ensuring that ..... was the Asian financial crisis of the late 90s that ...

http://www.unisdr.org/eng/library/Literature/8686.pdf

group would go a long way toward placing the necessary warning labels on models, and make it less likely that fiascos like a financial crisis would happen ...

http://democrats.science.house.gov/Media/file/Commdocs/hearings/2009/Oversight/10sep/Colander_Testimony.pdf

- Related articles

http://dspace-prod1.anu.edu.au/bitstream/1885/40285/2/ea99-1a.pdf

AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM OF CURRENCY CRISES. The Mexican Peso Crisis of 1994/95 and the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997/98 prompted ...

http://faculty.darden.virginia.edu/warnockf/GFM/BP-0497 EWS tech note.pdf

2 Apr 2009 ... methodology was used would have provided at least early-warning information regarding some of the drivers that led to the financial crisis. ...

http://www.actuaries.org/LIBRARY/Submissions/INSACC_FCAG_Consult.pdf

by EP Davis - Cited by 11

http://www.zen13767.zen.co.uk/early_warning_subprime.pdf

by CAE GOODHART - 2008 - Cited by 55

http://www.cesifo.de/pls/guestci/download/CESifo Working Papers 2008/CESifo Working Papers March 2008/cesifo1_wp2257.pdf

by GL Kaminsky - Cited by 333

http://www.gwu.edu/~clai/working_papers/Kaminsky_Graciela_07-00.pdf